Big Brother has won over Winston simply because Winston no longer has the fighting spirit and hatred he once had toward Big Brother. He didn't have that same desire to hate the government any more. Even though it said "He had won victory over himself" on page 245, he was actually being controlled by Big Brother. He had submitted to their demands, and they were able to destroy his will to rise against the system. He didn't want to go against them now. The mental and physical toll had done enough damage on Winston. Therefore, Big Brother won over Winston.
One way the One State can be destroyed was if the Party was to completely block off their territory from the proles. They would grow in number and become a bigger threat. Eventually, someone would organize a rebellion while the major nations were at fierce war with each other. Then, the proles would attack from the inside out, slowly pushing the Party back to their borders. Eventually, something would have to give. They would have to either let the proles rule over them or submit to their Eurasia and Eastasia.
Even though Orwell describes that "The long-hoped-for bullet was entering his brain" at the end of the novel, I think he was describing the death of Winston's rebellious spirit inside of him. He no longer showed resenment towards Big Brother. He was tired of fighting for what was right and not getting anywhere by doing so. The metaphorical bullet entering his brain completes he re-birth into the society. As the last line of the novel reads, "He loved Big Brother." Eventually, I think he is killed by the party, but that is not what Orwell was describing.
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